Seventy-five miles and 10,428 feet of climbing, ninety percent of it singletrack, and none of it below 6,600 feet. Redline Athlete forecasts your finish from your own numbers, prices every climb against your reserve, and tells you what nine hours at altitude does to the plan you thought you had.
No card. No account needed to try it.
The organiser's own framing: point to point, through Deer Valley and Park City Mountain, and you never ride the same trail twice. The average finish is nine hours. The fastest is just under six and the slowest is nearly thirteen, which is a wider spread than any other race on this list and the reason a plan is worth having. Figures from the organiser's course page (75 mi, 10,428 ft of gain, 90% singletrack, aid at Deer Valley Silver Lake and Park City Mountain) and MTB Project's survey of the route (9,255 ft high point, 6,636 ft low point). When you load the course file, the app measures it for itself.
The low point of this course is higher than the summit of most races on this list. Nine hours between 6,636 and 9,255 feet is not the same nine hours you trained for at home, and the model has a setting for exactly that.
Sea level fitness does not arrive in Park City intact. Tell the model whether you are acclimatised and it re-prices every climb, because the ceiling on what you can hold moves with the air, not with your ambition. Getting this wrong is the single largest error available on this page.
Where the trail is tight, the handling ceiling caps your speed and extra watts buy very little. Tag the course section by section and the plan separates the miles where fitness pays from the miles where line choice does.
Silver Lake at mile 26, Park City Mountain at mile 54, then 21 miles home. That last leg is the longest unsupported stretch and it comes when your reserve is lowest. The fueling plan is built around it.
The same course takes some riders twice as long as others, and the difference is mostly pacing and fueling rather than fitness. The plan tells you which end of that range your numbers actually put you at.
A forecast from your weight, fitness and the course file, with a pace target you can hold rather than an average someone else rode.
Every climb ranked by what it takes out of your anaerobic reserve, not by how tall it looks. On a course this long the climb that empties you is rarely the steepest one. It is the one you arrive at with nothing left, and that is usually somewhere in the third quarter.
Carbohydrate burned against what you can absorb, hour by hour, with a warning when the plan runs short. Nine hours is a fueling race before it is a fitness race. The plan says what to carry between Silver Lake and Park City Mountain, and what you need on you for the twenty-one miles after it.
The longest climb, the hardest one for you, the recovery window before it and the technical stretch late in the day, sent to your Garmin, Wahoo or watch as waypoints.
The model is fitted against recorded races, not lab assumptions. On a Chequamegon 40 validation ride it predicted 2:24:28 against an actual finish of 2:24:20.
Your prediction comes with a confidence range, because honesty beats a single flattering number. The Point 2 Point has not yet been run through the model on a recorded file. When a rider shares one, this page gets its own numbers.
The organiser puts the average finish at nine hours, with the fastest just under six and the slowest close to thirteen. That spread is the point: the calculator forecasts your time from your own weight, threshold power and handling, rather than handing you an average you have no reason to match.
That depends on where you live and how long you have been in Park City, which is why it is a setting rather than an assumption. Tell the model whether you are acclimatised and it adjusts the power you can hold, and therefore the finish time, the fuel and the reserve.
Yes, and by more than most riders expect. Surface is worth 13 to 17% of a finish time in this model, more than changing bikes. Tag the course by section and the plan prices the tight miles differently from the open ones.
The organiser posts the course and its three training segments, and the route is on Trailforks. Any of them upload straight into the planner.
That is the case it is for. Mark Silver Lake and Park City Mountain, and the fueling plan works out what has to be on your back for the twenty-one miles between the last aid station and the finish.
Same model, one page per course.
Same course, your fitness, your altitude, your pacing. Two minutes of setup now beats seventy-five miles of guessing.